Wal-Mart de México SA, Latin America´s largest
retailer, said profit fell for the first time in more
than two years in the fourth quarter after a one-time
tax break fueled a jump in earnings a year earlier.
Walmex, controlled by
Bentonville, Arkansas-based Wal-Mart Stores Inc.,
reported net income of 3.5 billion pesos (US$332.7
million), or 82 centavos a share, in the quarter
compared with an inflation-adjusted 3.6 billion pesos,
or 82 centavos a share, a year ago, the company said
in an e-mailed statement.
Same-store sales are powering
revenue growth for Walmex as Chief Executive Eduardo
Solorzano´s strategy of opening units in smaller
markets pays off, said Manuel Zapata, an analyst with
Citigroup´s Banamex unit in Mexico City. Sales rose 15
percent to 50 billion pesos in the quarter, the
company said. Stores open more than a year boosted
sales 6.5 percent, the second-fastest quarterly
growth.
"The company is growing at a
strong but manageable rate that allows it to improve
profit margins," Gonzálo Pangaro, who manages about
US$1.5 billion, including Walmex shares, for T. Rowe
Price International in London, said before the
earnings release. "I think that what Walmex is doing
is very wise."
In the full year, same-store
sales grew a record 5.9 percent, the company said.
The added volume increased
profit from every 100 pesos of sales by 44 centavos
from a year earlier, Morgan Stanley analyst Lore Serra
wrote in a Feb. 5 report.
Solorzano has made a priority
of opening new stores in rural areas since he took
over the company in February 2005, the same month
Walmex said it would open a single-year record of 70
stores. Solorzano later bolstered the plan to open 90
stores, ending the year with 93 new outlets.
In the fourth quarter of
2004, net income rose more than analysts expected -
the second-biggest jump in earnings in five years -
after cuts in corporate income tax rates created a 640
million-peso credit.
BOOM IN STORES
Walmex now operates 784
stores in Mexico, up from 331 in 1994, according to
the company´s Web site.
The quickening pace of
expansion means more stores each quarter contribute to
same-store sales, Zapata, who has covered the company
for four years, wrote in a Jan. 24 report. The new
rural stores are in areas with less competition,
further improving Walmex´s profit margins, he said.
Walmex opened 46 new stores in 2003, 58 in 2004 and 93
in 2005.
Same-store sales growth
probably improved the company´s ratio of expenses to
sales to 12.7 percent from 13 percent a year earlier,
said Zapata, who maintained his "buy" rating on the
shares.
J.P. Morgan Securities
analyst Andrea Teixeira also maintained an
"overweight" rating on the shares in a Jan. 9 report
after the company said December same-store sales grew
5 percent, beating her 3.6 percent estimate.
Sales by existing stores are
growing faster than the economy, signaling Walmex is
taking market share from other retailers, she wrote.
The nation´s gross domestic
product grew about 3 percent in 2005, according to
government estimates.
Same-store sales at
Organizacion Soriana SA, the nation´s second-largest
retailer, probably fell 1 percent in the fourth
quarter, according to Serra. Sales at Controladora
Comercial Mexicana SA, Mexico´s third-largest
retailer, probably slipped 3 percent, wrote Deutsche
Bank analyst Joaquin Lopez-Doriga Jan. 10.
Walmex was the fifth best
performer on the Bolsa index last year, rising 54
percent compared with the index´s 40.6 percent gain.
The stock rose 1.28 pesos, or 2.1 percent, to 61.10
pesos today in Mexico City trading.
The stock´s price prompted
UBS head Latin America strategist Damian Fraser to
recommend cutting Walmex holdings in a Jan. 20 report.
Fund managers such as William
Fries, who helps manage about US$20 billion for
Thornburg Investment Management Inc. in Santa Fe, New
Mexico, said the company´s growth potential justifies
the price.
"It´s pretty compelling to
look at Mexico and expect that we are going to see the
same kind of structural advantage Wal- Mart has in the
U.S. play out there," he said in a telephone interview
this week. "It´s a just a very efficiently run
business."